OddSheet

Week 5 stat picks

The parlays the team stats like most this week. Tap "Add all legs" to save one, then place it at your own sportsbook.

Lines: VegasInsider · Oct 8

Track record

Every top stat pick, graded after the games
  1. We check every bet. All the spreads, totals and moneylines for the week, about 90 bets.
  2. We compare it to the stats. Points, rushing and passing yards for both teams, adjusted for injuries and weather.
  3. We keep the best ones. Bets the stats say are more likely to win than the odds suggest, combined into parlays.

New to betting? 1-minute guide

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Parlay
Several bets combined into one. Every bet has to win, but the payout is much bigger.
Spread (Bears −2.5)
The minus team must win by more than 2.5 points. The plus team (+2.5) can lose by 2 or less and you still win.
Moneyline (Bears ML)
The team just has to win the game.
Over / Under (Over 43.5)
A bet on the two teams' combined points: over or under 43.5.
Odds (−110, +150)
−110 means bet $110 to win $100. +150 means bet $100 to win $150. Every bet here also shows what $10 pays.
Win chance
How often the bet should win, based on the stats and the sportsbook's odds together.
Value
How much better the bet looks than its odds. Higher is better. Zero means it's priced fairly.
Avg profit
What you'd make per bet on average if you placed it many times. It's an average: any single bet still wins or loses.

Top stat picks

Best bet per game that's more likely to win than lose

Each bet's chance blends the stats model with the sportsbook's own odds (half each), so a pick needs the stats to clearly disagree with the line to make this list. Lines move; check your book before betting. Kansas City and Carolina are on bye.

Built from your legs

Every combination of the legs in My legs, ranked.

Example legs loaded

All ranked slips